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Quality | 2010.03.25

Hospital deaths data is inaccurate and needs to be investigated, says expert

Twenty-five trusts across the country had higher mortality rates than would normally be expected, warns expert

Death rates at 25 hospital trusts in England are higher than they should be, according to one of the country\'s leading experts who is calling for the government to investigate.

Professor Brian Jarman of Imperial College London says that across the 25 trusts, there were 4,600 unexpected deaths in the year 2007-08. He claims the current system of hospital inspections and regulation is "fundamentally flawed".

Hospitals do not report accurate data to the regulator, the Care Quality Commission (CQC), he says, and onsite inspections focus on only a selection of cases at a selection of hospitals every year.

Jarman, who became an adviser to the inquiry into the excess numbers of deaths of babies at the Bristol Royal Infirmary over a decade ago because of his expertise in hospital mortality rates, said that after 10 years of "no action, I needed to say something".

He said the high death rates - more than 150 more than would be expected at each of the trusts - did not prove malpractice or inadequacy, but that they needed to be investigated.

"My main concern is that the government only focuses on self-inspection rather than launching wider inquiries. That is why I have decided to take action," he will say on a BBC Radio 4 programme tonight.

"An investigation may not prove anything is being done wrong but it could still boost our ability to reduce death rates."

The CQC, said death rates were only one of the factors it took into account when assessing the safety and competence of a trust.

"These figures need to be considered as part of a wider picture," said Richard Hamblin, CQC\'s director of intelligence. "It is over-simplistic to say that a mortality rate across an entire trust is a direct indicator of quality of care. We have found reasons for concern at trusts with both high and low mortality rates.

"CQC looks closely at the mortality rates of every trust in England alongside a range of other data, such as readmission rates, infection rates and reported incidents, as well as information from our inspections, the public and other organisations. It is all of this together that gives a picture of performance. We do not rely on trusts\' self-assessment."

A Department of Health spokesman said it was confident the CQC would investigate any underperforming hospitals. "We have armed them with powers to take tough enforcement action to make sure all hospitals give patients high quality care," he said.

He added that the CQC had investigated all hospitals with a higher than average standardised mortality rate and found no cause for concern.

Some of the trusts said their mortality rates had dropped since 2007-08. Southampton said its death rates were now within the normal range. "The improvement we have shown has been a result of more accurate recording of deaths at the trust," said Dr Michael Marsh, medical director at the trust.

Tameside also said its death rate had fallen and was now closer to the average. "We know some people have genuine concerns about services here at Tameside hospital and we want to reassure them that this hospital continues to provide safe and effective patient care," said a spokeswoman.

The 25 trusts named by Jarman are:

Barking, Havering and Redbridge University hospitals NHS trust

Basildon and Thurrock University hospitals NHS foundation trust

Blackpool, Fylde and Wyre hospitals NHS foundation trust

Central Manchester University hospitals NHS foundation trust

Colchester hospital University NHS foundation trust

George Eliot hospital NHS trust

Great Western hospitals NHS foundation trust

Heart Of England NHS foundation trust

Hull and East Yorkshire hospitals NHS trust

James Paget University hospitals NHS foundation trust

Mayday Healthcare NHS trust

Mid Cheshire hospitals NHS foundation trust

Mid Staffordshire NHS foundation trust

Mid Yorkshire hospitals NHS trust

North Middlesex University hospital NHS trust

Pennine Acute hospitals NHS trust

Royal Bolton hospital NHS foundation trust

Sherwood Forest hospitals NHS foundation trust

Southampton University hospitals NHS trust

Stockport NHS foundation trust

Tameside hospital NHS foundation trust

United Lincolnshire hospitals NHS trust

University hospital Birmingham NHS foundation trust

University hospitals Coventry and Warwickshire NHS trust

Wrightington, Wigan and Leigh NHS foundation trust.


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